4th & Data
This week's board is live

Decided by the data. Not the takes.

Free weekly fantasy tools built on backtests of eleven seasons. Every call is locked before kickoff and graded in public the next week. Misses included.

 Calls graded
 Weeks in public
0Edits after kickoff
Our record, graded in public

The coin flip is 46%: a group beats its own average about 46% of the time.Every call →
This week

The matchup board

The ten offenses Vegas expects to score the most, and how good the spot is for each position.

MatchupImpliedSpread QBRBWRTEThe read
Implied = points Vegas expects the team to score. Position scores blend scoring environment, pace and how generous the defense has been, adjusted for who it faced.Full board →
Start them

Best plays this week

Our projection with the matchup built in, and the range each player usually lands in.

Floor to ceilingOur projection
Weekly waiver report

Week 8: who to add, and what to bid

The Week 8 waiver wire. Eight adds in priority order, what changed, and what I'd bid on each.

Read the waiver report →
Also this week

Before you set your lineup

Waivers

Under-owned, should be rostered

Injuries

Switched off this week

Start or sit

Stuck between two players?

Type a name. We put them side by side with this week's projection, range and matchup.

Research

We run the study

No hot takes. Every article shows the method and publishes the misses.

Every article →
Draft lab
15%

How much of where players actually finished the consensus draft board explained, 2014 to 2024. The other 85% is where the season is won.

Draft lab
-11 pts

What Zero RB cost in playoff odds across thousands of simulated drafts. Hero RB cost 23. Nothing beat taking value.

Draft lab
39,600

Drafts simulated to find the quarterback round. A first round QB cost 15 playoff points. Rounds 4 to 6 were free.

In the lab:Your draft slot is not why you lostADP ages like milk
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